Quantifying Land Cover Changes and Urban Temperature Variations in Urdaneta City, Philippines (2000-2025): Implications for Sustainable Development
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Abstract
This study examines land cover changes and their influence on urban temperature trends in Urdaneta City, Pangasinan, from 2000 to 2025, with projections up to 2030. Using time series analysis and linear regression, findings reveal a significant decline in agricultural land and expansion of built-up areas, accompanied by an increase in land surface temperature from 24°C to nearly 30°C. The projected temperature rise underscores the impact of urban expansion on local climate. These results highlight the need for sustainable land management strategies to mitigate heat island effects amid rapid urban growth. Limitations include coarse thermal data resolution and limited temporal data points, which suggest caution in interpreting the projections and emphasize the importance of further detailed research. Understanding these relationships is vital for developing urban planning and environmental management strategies that mitigate heat island effects and promote climate-resilient urban growth.
Keywords
Land Use Change, Land Surface Temperature, Urban Landscape, Urban Expansion, Urban Management, UrbanizationReferences
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Copyright (c) 2026 Jeffrey E. Dela Cruz
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